Research

Publications

• Environmental Lead Risk in the 21st Century (with Mengli Chen, Ludovica Gazze, Reshmi Das, Jerome Nriagu, Yigal Erel, Edward Boyle, Caroline Taylor, and Dominik Weiss), Nature Communications Earth and Environment, 2025, 6:776 [code]
• Selection of Invalid Instruments can Improve Estimation in Mendelian Randomization (with Ashish Patel, Stephen Burgess, and Verena Zuber), Annals of Applied Statistics, 2024, 18 (2), pp. 1729-1749 [pre-print]
• Hidden Hazards and Screening Policy: Predicting Undetected Lead Exposure in Illinois (with Ali Abbasi, Ludovica Gazze, and Bridget Pals), Journal of Health Economics, 2023, 90 (102783) [pre-print]
• Identifying Causal Effects in Experiments with Spillovers and Non-compliance (with Camilo Garcia-Jimeno, Rossa O’Keeffe-O’Donovan, and Alejandro Sanchez) , Journal of Econometrics, 2023, 235 (2), pp. 1589-1624 [preprint, slides]
• A Framework for Eliciting, Incorporating, and Disciplining Identification Beliefs in Linear Models (with Camilo Garcia-Jimeno), Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 2021, 39(4), pp. 1038-1053. [pre-print]
• Identifying the Effect of a Mis-classified, Binary, Endogenous Regressor (with Camilo Garcia-Jimeno), Journal of Econometrics, 2019, 209 (2), pp. 376-390. [pre-print, NBER version]
• A Generalized Focused Information Criterion for GMM with Applications to Panel Data Models (with Minsu Chang), Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2018, 33 (3), pp. 378-397 [pre-print, code]
• Using Invalid Instruments on Purpose: Focused Moment Selection and Averaging for GMM, Journal of Econometrics, 2016, 195 (2), pp. 187-208 [pre-print, appendix, code]
• Portfolio Selection: An Extreme Value Approach (with Jeffrey Gerlach), Journal of Banking and Finance, 2013, 37 (2), pp. 305-323 [pre-print]
• Measuring Altruism in a Public Goods Experiment: A Comparison of U.S. and Czech Subjects (with Lisa Anderson and Jeffrey Gerlach), Experimental Economics, 2011, 14 (3), pp. 426-437.
• Yes, Wall Street, There is a January Effect: Evidence from Laboratory Auctions (with Lisa Anderson and Jeffrey Gerlach), Journal of Behavioral Finance, 2007, 8 (1), pp. 1-8

Working Papers

• Structured Payment in Pawnshop Borrowing: Mandates vs. Choice (with Issac Meza, Joyce Sadka, Enrique Seira, and Craig McIntosh), Revise and Re-submit, Review of Economic Studies
• Bayesian Double Machine Learning for Causal Inference (with Laura Liu) [slides]
• Experimenting with Spillovers: A Guide for Practitioners (with Alejandro Sanchez-Becerra), Invited Chapter, Oxford Handbook of Program Evaluation
• Using Efficient Estimands and Human Genetics to Study Marginal Treatment Effects (with Ashish Patel and Stephen Burgess) [code], Revise and Re-submit, Annals of Applied Statistics

In Progress

• Inference for the 21st Century (with Frank Schorfheide)
• Bayesian Causal Inference in High Dimensions (with Laura Liu)
• ECLIPS: the Elevated Childhood Lead Interagency Prevalence Study (with Ludovica Gazzè et al.)
• To Link or Not to Link? Estimating long-run Treatment Effects from Historical Data (with Camilo Garcia-Jimeno and Ezra Karger)
• A History of Violence: Forced Displacement and De Facto Land Reform in Rural Colombia (with Camilo Garcia-Jimeno)